Hurricane Ida forecasted to become major hurricane, Cat. 3 possible before landfall in Louisiana Sunday

Tracking the Tropics

Hurricane Ida continues to strengthen as it moves toward land. The 10 p.m. update shows that Ida is expected to reach major hurricane status, strengthening to possibly a Category 3 by the time it makes landfall.

Hurricane Ida is strengthening as it moves northwest this morning located just south of Cuba. The 10 p.m. Update from the National Hurricane Center forecast shows Ida strengthening into a major hurricane (Category 4) Sunday before landfall near Terrebonne/St. Mary Parish in southeast Louisiana late Sunday. Acadiana remains on a fine line for the severity of impacts Ida could bring to the area.

Hurricane Watches and Storm Surge Watches have been issued across the coastal parishes of the state. More watches and then warnings will more than likely be issued today or tomorrow.

Tropical models are mostly in agreement with the NHC Cone, although they are clustered slightly more west at landfall. A track any further west will significantly raise the severity of impacts in Acadiana.

In the last few years, the GFS has outperformed most models in regards to the location of landfall for a tropical system. The Friday morning run for the GFS shows Ida making landfall across Terrebonne Parish Sunday evening.

The eastern side or right side of Ida will bring the most significant impacts when it comes to flooding rains, tornadoes, and storm surge. The western side of the system will still have very strong winds in excess of 80 mph with gusts possibly around 100 mph or more. Regardless, much of Acadiana has a high probability of seeing tropical storm strength winds from 39 to 73 mph.

As mentioned before, the eastern side will have the highest rainfall totals with the system where areas could see over 10″ inches of rain. Looking at the current forecast from the GFS, those high rainfall totals will be east of Acadiana but you can see how close of a threat this will be to our area.

Here are the impacts expected for Acadiana, these will need to be adjusted as we fine-tune the exact path at landfall. Central and especially eastern Acadiana need to be on high alert for any shifts west with the track.

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Abbeville

85°F Sunny Feels like 94°
Wind
5 mph S
Humidity
73%
Sunrise
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Tonight

Information not available.
75°F Information not available.
Wind
6 mph SSW
Precip
17%
Sunset
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Crowley

85°F Partly Cloudy Feels like 93°
Wind
5 mph S
Humidity
71%
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Tonight

Information not available.
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Wind
4 mph SSW
Precip
9%
Sunset
Moon Phase
Full Moon
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86°F Fair Feels like 95°
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0 mph S
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66%
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Tonight

Information not available.
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Wind
3 mph SSW
Precip
14%
Sunset
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Full Moon
Fair

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85°F Fair Feels like 93°
Wind
5 mph S
Humidity
73%
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Tonight

Some clouds this evening will give way to mainly clear skies overnight. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. Low 73F. Winds light and variable.
73°F Some clouds this evening will give way to mainly clear skies overnight. A stray shower or thunderstorm is possible. Low 73F. Winds light and variable.
Wind
5 mph SSW
Precip
20%
Sunset
Moon Phase
Full Moon
Sunny

New Iberia

84°F Sunny Feels like 91°
Wind
6 mph S
Humidity
72%
Sunrise
Sunset

Tonight

A clear sky. Low 74F. Winds light and variable.
74°F A clear sky. Low 74F. Winds light and variable.
Wind
6 mph SSW
Precip
14%
Sunset
Moon Phase
Full Moon

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