“Slight” to “Enhanced” Risk for Severe Weather Saturday Afternoon and Evening for Acadiana

Local
SPC 4-11-19

Acadiana’s next strong storm system is expected to impact the area Saturday afternoon and evening from approximately 1:00 pm to 10:00pm.  Showers and storms will become more numerous through the day and with the forecasted setup within the atmosphere, severe storms are possible if not likely for our area.  Damaging winds will be the main threat but several tornadoes are possible across the entire state on Saturday.  Currently, the Storm Prediction has the northern half of Acadiana in their “Enhanced Risk” outlook.  This is somewhat rare to see this high of a risk 3 days out from an event so the probability for severe weather is on the higher side than the past couple events we’ve seen.  An “Enhanced Risk” is a 3 out of 5 for likelihood for severe weather in your area.  This is a medium to high threat, where much of the state could see several severe storms and also the possibility of a few intense tornadoes.  I do think the risk for an intense tornado will be west and north for much of Acadiana but given this system is still 3 days out, we will need to monitor and update the expected impacts for Acadiana as we get closer to this event.

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