We still have a chance of severe weather Thursday, and a Level 3 Risk continues across Acadiana.
I think the best chance of severe weather will be between 9 AM and 3 PM. All models of severe weather will be possible, so this storm system has the potential to produce tornadoes as there will be a good balance between wind shear and instability.
I think the better chance of severe weather will be across southern parts of Mississippi, but with Acadiana under the threat of severe weather, stay weather aware. Behind a cold front, Friday will cooler.
A strong cold front is expected to sweep across the area on Thursday.
Showers and storms will increase ahead and along this frontal boundary with the threat of severe weather coming from approximately Noon to 7:00 pm Thursday evening for all of Acadiana.
The primary threat will be damaging along with the chance for tornadoes and/or large hail. I think the greater risk for tornadoes tomorrow will be east of Acadiana but dynamics within the expected atmosphere could support a weak tornado or two for our area.
If a squall line forms along the cold front, damaging winds could be widespread along that leading edge of rain.
I understand that the past few weeks have been filled with threats for severe weather that never fully came together for the area.
That being said, on paper this event is another real threat for Acadiana and should be taken more seriously than the weaker events we typically forecast.
Be weather aware on Thursday and make sure that all weather radios are On and have fresh batteries.